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Dec 12th 2025 Stock Market Update

Updated this week

πŸŽ„Holiday Availability & Trading Schedule πŸŽ„

Please note our schedule for the upcoming holiday period:

  • Web Meetings Pause: We will be pausing all internal and external web meetings from Monday, December 22nd, 2025 through Monday, January 5th, 2026.

  • Assistance Availability: Should you require urgent assistance during this time, our team will still be fully available via WhatsApp message, direct call, and website chat.

  • Market Updates: We will continue to post our regular trades and market updates as normal on all days when stock markets are open.

We wish you all a happy and restful holiday season!


πŸ“Šβ±οΈ Day Trading - FX & Gold

Yesterday's Day Trading Alerts (Dec 11th)

We've compiled yesterday's alerts for Fx and Gold, derived from our core day trading strategy.

✨ 2 Trades (Breakeven and a Loss)

  • GOLD

  • EUR.USD

(Transparency is our standard: All trades were fully documented and distributed via real-time alerts in our private WhatsApp group yesterday.)

If you wish to review the formula behind these signals, the short course is available here: [Click Here].


πŸš€ Options & Futures Trades

This portfolio is our most profitable and favored due to its inherent advantage: the ability to structure high-probability trades that consistently put the odds in our favor. Our year-to-date Return on Investment (ROI) is exceptional, driven by a sustained 93% success rate using our proprietary short put strategy on SPY. This is a critical area where seeking additional knowledge is highly recommended.

Current Option Trades:

Nil. We will notify you via whats app when we open our next trade.

Closed Option Trades:

We closed all of our option trades on SPY on Wednesday all in profit. Click Here to access a record of all of our closed option trades.


πŸ“ˆ Long-Term Stock Investment Strategy

These positions are based on fundamentally sound companies that represent compelling long-term buying opportunities. We are committed to a patient, buy-and-hold approach, willing to maintain these stocks for multiple years or until the target price is achieved. This strategy is ideal for less active investors with a long time horizon.

We've already closed out three positions:

  1. Entain + 59%

  2. Vestas Wind Systems +30%

  3. Coterra Energy +21%


πŸ“ˆ Short Term Stock Trade Strategy

These companies are fundamentally sound and their recent stock sell-offs represent a buying opportunity. While we aim for quick, short-term exits, we are comfortable holding these positions for the longer term if they trade lower.

We will refrain from adding any new short-term stock trades until we have exited at least two of the current positions. Our commitment is to maintain all existing trades until their short-term target prices are achieved.


πŸ“… Market Review for Thursday, December 11, 2025

Thursday, December 11, 2025, was a day of two halves. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 surged to new record closing highs, cheered by Wednesday's rate cut. However, the tech-heavy Nasdaq pulled back sharply as fresh concerns over the profitability of AI investment re-emerged.


πŸ“ˆ Equities (Stocks)

US indices closed mixed, with a clear rotation away from high-valuation tech:

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by a powerful +1.3% (nearly 650 points), setting a new all-time closing record. This gain was driven by investors piling into non-tech blue-chip stocks like Visa, Home Depot, and UnitedHealth Group.

  • The S&P 500 also finished higher by +0.21%, setting its own new closing record at $6,901.00.

  • The Nasdaq Composite ended the day lower by -0.3%, lagging significantly.

The key driver for the Nasdaq's weakness was a massive plunge in Oracle shares (down nearly -15%) following its earnings report. Oracle's results did little to ease Wall Street's concerns about the high costs and uncertain returns of massive AI infrastructure spending. This triggered a sell-off across the AI-tied sector: Nvidia fell by -1.5%, and Micron Technology dropped -2%, highlighting that the profitability concerns of the AI ecosystem are far from resolved.


πŸͺ™ Crypto

The digital asset market saw high volatility, with prices cooling off after the mid-week rally driven by the Fed's rate cut.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) posted a volatile but ultimately negative session, declining by approximately -0.79% to close near $91,668. The volatility was attributed to profit-taking following Wednesday's surge, alongside the broader risk-off move in high-valuation tech assets.


πŸ›οΈ Bonds

US Treasury prices rose (yields fell), signaling that the bond market is still highly optimistic about future rate cuts despite the Fed's recent projections.

  • The yield on the benchmark US 10-Year Treasury note fell marginally to 4.140% from 4.163% at Wednesday's close. This drop in yields (rise in bond prices) suggests the bond market is pricing in a higher probability of deeper rate cuts in 2026 than the single cut currently projected by the Fed's "dot plot."


πŸ’° Commodities

Commodity markets showed mixed performance:

  • Gold extended its impressive run, gaining over +1.07% to close around $4,274 per ounce. Gold benefited from a weakening US Dollar and continued demand for safe-haven assets amid the uncertainty surrounding tech valuations.

  • WTI Crude Oil futures experienced a mostly bearish session, declining by approximately -0.86% to settle near $57.60 per barrel. Prices were weighed down by a general risk-off sentiment early in the day and continued concerns about global demand.

  • US Natural Gas (Henry Hub) futures saw minor fluctuations, trading near $4.23 per MMBtu. Prices eased slightly, stabilizing after the recent volatility, but the fundamental cold weather outlook remains supportive.


πŸ’± Foreign Exchange (FX)

The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened following the Fed's dovish actions on Wednesday and softer US labor market data.

  • The Dollar Index finished down approximately -0.34%, trading near 98.3.

  • The Euro (EUR) strengthened against the Dollar, trading near $1.1738 (based on the inverse of the USD/EUR rate of $\text{0.8519}$). The Dollar's broad weakness was the primary factor in FX markets.


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