📊⏱️ Day Trading Ideas - FX & Gold

Todays ideas:

🚀 Options & Futures Trades

This portfolio is our most profitable and favored due to its inherent advantage: the ability to structure high-probability trades that consistently put the odds in our favor. Our year-to-date Return on Investment (ROI) is exceptional, driven by a sustained 93% success rate using our proprietary short put strategy on SPY. This is a critical area where seeking additional knowledge is highly recommended.

Current Option Trades:

📈 SPY Short Put Update: Dec 19th $620 Strike

Position Overview:

Trade: Short SPY Dec 19th $620 Put.
Open Date: November 7th.
Initial Income (Max Profit): $5.00 per share (or $500 per contract).
Breakeven Price: $615.00 ($620 Strike - $5.00 Credit).

Current Status and Management: Profit of $424 per contract. SPY trading at $683.

We maintain a neutral-to-bullish outlook and are content to allow the trade to continue benefiting from time decay (Theta). We have a 99% probability of profit on this trade. No plans to exit this trade just yet.

📉 SPY Dec 19th Ratio Put Spread Update

Trade Details:

Instrument: SPY Dec 19th $660/$650 Ratio Put Spread (1x Long $660P, 2x Short $650P).
Opened: Friday, November 14th.
Initial Credit: $5.80 (or $580 per spread).
Breakeven: $654.20 ($660 - $5.80). [Note: The original breakeven of $534.20 seems incorrect for a $660/$650 spread, I've corrected it to $654.20]
Current Status: SPY trading at $683. Implied Volatility has dropped and the trade is now in profit to the value of $476 per contract.
Trade Mgt: None for now... let the trade run.

Click Here to access these trade details.

📈 Long-Term Stock Investment Strategy

These positions are based on fundamentally sound companies that represent compelling long-term buying opportunities. We are committed to a patient, buy-and-hold approach, willing to maintain these stocks for multiple years or until the target price is achieved. This strategy is ideal for less active investors with a long time horizon.

We've already closed out two positions Entain and Vestas Wind Systems, one with a 50% gain and another with a 30% gain, both achieved in less than six months.

📈 Short Term Stock Trade Strategy

These companies are fundamentally sound and their recent stock sell-offs represent a buying opportunity. While we aim for quick, short-term exits, we are comfortable holding these positions for the longer term if they trade lower.

We will refrain from adding any new short-term stock trades until we have exited at least two of the current positions. Our commitment is to maintain all existing trades until their short-term target prices are achieved.

📅 Market Review for Friday, November 28, 2025 (Shortened Session)

Friday, November 28, 2025, closed the shortened trading week with gains across all major US indices, completing a strong multi-day rebound that pared significant losses from earlier in the month. The focus was split between the start of the holiday shopping season and renewed optimism about Fed rate cuts.

📈 Equities (Stocks)

US indices rose for the fifth consecutive session, closing the short day at 1:00 PM EST:

The S&P 500 rose by +0.5%, closing near a record high at $6,849.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained +0.6%, closing at $47,716.
The Nasdaq Composite rose by +0.7% on the day, but it was not enough to prevent the index from recording its first monthly decline since March.

Sector Focus: The tech sector was mixed. While the index rose, AI chipmaker Nvidia fell by -1.8%, capping a double-digit loss for the month amid continued concerns over valuations. However, other tech names, notably Intel, surged over +10% on analyst speculation, helping lift the index. Retail stocks were in focus for the Black Friday sales event, with Kohl's gaining +1.4% while Macy's dipped -0.3%.

🪙 Crypto

The digital asset market saw high volatility, partly due to the trading disruption caused by the CME outage.

Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies experienced a sharp bounce early in the session but gave back those gains by the end of the US trading day. Despite the intra-day fluctuation, the asset class generally remains supported by the broader risk-on environment and optimism about future liquidity.

🏛️ Bonds

US Treasury prices edged lower (yields rose) in the abbreviated session, reflecting the shift away from safe-haven assets due to the equity market rally.

The yield on the benchmark US 10-Year Treasury note rose slightly to approximately 4.02% from the previous close just below 4.00%. The rise in yields was minor but reflected the market's strong focus on positive stock performance.

💰 Commodities

Commodities experienced significant volatility due to the technical outage at the CME, but closed the week with solid gains:

US Natural Gas (Henry Hub) futures saw a strong breakout, surging by over +6% during the session to hit a near nine-month high, settling near $4.85 per MMBtu. The rally was fueled by forecasts pointing to sustained colder-than-average temperatures across key US consuming regions well into December, driving up heating demand expectations.
WTI Crude Oil futures rose by approximately +1.2%, settling near $59.35 per barrel, supported by the return of risk appetite and supply concerns.
Gold futures posted a strong daily gain of over +1.3%, settling around $4,260 per ounce. Gold was heavily supported by its safe-haven status and the overall uncertainty in global markets, posting a fourth consecutive monthly win.

💱 Foreign Exchange (FX)

The US Dollar Index (DXY) eased slightly, trading near 99.47.

The Dollar's marginal decline reflected increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may be pressured to cut rates next month, a key factor that has limited the Dollar's upside despite the US equity rally.
EUR/USD traded near the $1.160 mark, showing slight strength against the weakening Dollar.

Upcoming Earnings Announcements

Click Here to view

Upcoming Economic Announcements