📊⏱️ Day Trading Ideas - FX & Gold

🚀 Options & Strategy

This portfolio is our most profitable and favored due to its inherent advantage: the ability to structure high-probability trades that consistently put the odds in our favor. Our year-to-date Return on Investment (ROI) is exceptional, driven by a sustained 93% success rate using our proprietary short put strategy on SPY. This is a critical area where seeking additional knowledge is highly recommended.

Current Option Trades

SPY Dec 19th $620 Short Put:

On Friday 7th Nov we sold the SPY Dec 19th $620 Put option and generated $500 in income. The trade is gone into profit of $73. If that gets to 75% in the next couple of days we will close down the trade and take the profit off the table. Click Here to access these trade details.

SPY Dec 19th $660/$650 Ratio Put Spread

On Friday Nov 14th we opened the SPY Dec 19th $660/$650 ratio put spread for $580 credit. Breakeven $534.20. We are in a slight loss on the trade with SPY dropping to $665. Ideally we would like it to fall to $650 as expiry to make a full profit. We are happy to let this trade run for now without any trade management. Click Here to access these trade details.

📈 Long-Term Stock Investment Strategy

NOTE: We added META on Nov 14th.

These positions are based on fundamentally sound companies that represent compelling long-term buying opportunities. We are committed to a patient, buy-and-hold approach, willing to maintain these stocks for multiple years or until the target price is achieved. This strategy is ideal for less active investors with a long time horizon.

We've already closed out two positions Entain and Vestas Wind Systems, one with a 50% gain and another with a 30% gain, both achieved in less than six months.

📈 Short Term Stock Trade Strategy

These companies are fundamentally sound and their recent stock sell-offs represent a buying opportunity. While we aim for quick, short-term exits, we are comfortable holding these positions for the longer term if they trade lower.

We will refrain from adding any new short-term stock trades until we have exited at least two of the current positions. Our commitment is to maintain all existing trades until their short-term target prices are achieved.

📅 Market Review for Monday, November 17, 2025

The trading day on Monday, November 17, 2025, saw US equities retreat, driven by a sharp decline in the technology sector as investors turned cautious ahead of a crucial week for economic data and major AI-related earnings.

📈 Equities (Stocks)

US indices closed solidly lower as selling momentum picked up, continuing the cautious mood that closed out the previous week:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by a significant -1.2% (557 points), closing at $46,590.24.
The S&P 500 fell by -0.9%, closing at $6,672.41, pulling further away from its recent all-time high.
The Nasdaq Composite also declined by -0.8%, closing at $22,708.07.

The declines were concentrated in the technology and AI sectors. Nvidia, the bellwether for the AI trade, was a heavy drag on the market, falling by around -1.8% ahead of its highly anticipated earnings report scheduled for Wednesday. Other AI winners and high-momentum stocks, including those linked to cryptocurrencies, also saw sharp losses as investors expressed concerns that valuations had reached "bubble territory." The broader losses indicated a shift away from high-risk assets.

🏛️ Bonds

US Treasury yields generally edged lower as the move out of equities led to some safe-haven buying in government bonds.

The yield on the benchmark US 10-Year Treasury note declined marginally to approximately 4.13% from 4.14% at the close of the previous Friday. This slight drop in yield reflects a modest rise in bond prices as market participants adopted a more cautious stance ahead of the week's key economic reports and Federal Reserve minutes.

💰 Commodities

Commodity markets were mixed, with energy futures under pressure:

Crude Oil (WTI) saw a modest decline, trading around $59.73 per barrel (down approximately -0.15% to -0.30% depending on the contract). Prices were weighed down by general risk aversion and an easing of geopolitical supply fears after a Russian port resumed exports.
US Natural Gas (Henry Hub) futures saw a significant drop, declining by approximately -3.18% to close near $4.42 per MMBtu. This was primarily a profit-taking move after its recent surge, with prices reacting to strong seasonal storage building data despite high LNG export volumes.
Gold saw a slight pullback, trading lower around $4,075 per ounce, as a stronger dollar and profit-taking offset its safe-haven appeal.

💱 Foreign Exchange (FX)

The US Dollar firmed against most major currency peers, despite lower Treasury yields, as global risk aversion led to capital flows back into the Dollar's safety.

The Euro (EUR) was under pressure against the Dollar, with the EUR/USD pair trading around $1.1590 at the close, reflecting the stronger Dollar.
The overall FX sentiment favored the Dollar as traders awaited the release of a significant amount of delayed US economic data later this week, which will be crucial for guiding the Federal Reserve's rate path.

The focus for the rest of the week will be on the release of delayed US economic data and the highly anticipated Nvidia earnings on Wednesday.

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