π Options, Futures, and FX Strategy
This portfolio is our most profitable and favored due to its inherent advantage: the ability to structure high-probability trades that consistently put the odds in our favor. Our year-to-date Return on Investment (ROI) is exceptional, driven by a sustained 93% success rate using our proprietary short put strategy on SPY. This is a critical area where seeking additional knowledge is highly recommended.
Trade Opened Friday 7th (5 days ago): We sold the SPY Dec 19th $620 Put option and generated $500 in income. The trade is already gone into profit of $300. As you can see from the image below we have made 60% of our maximum profit on this trade. If that gets to 75% in the next couple of days we will close down the trade and take the profit off the table. Click Here to access full trade details.
π Long-Term Stock Investment Strategy
These positions are based on fundamentally sound companies that represent compelling long-term buying opportunities. We are committed to a patient, buy-and-hold approach, willing to maintain these stocks for multiple years or until the target price is achieved. This strategy is ideal for less active investors with a long time horizon.
We've already closed out two positions Entain and Vestas Wind Systems, one with a 50% gain and another with a 30% gain, both achieved in less than six months.
π Short Term Stock Trade Strategy
These companies are fundamentally sound and their recent stock sell-offs represent a buying opportunity. While we aim for quick, short-term exits, we are comfortable holding these positions for the longer term if they trade lower.
We will refrain from adding any new short-term stock trades until we have exited at least two of the current positions. Our commitment is to maintain all existing trades until their short-term target prices are achieved.
π Market Review for Tuesday, November 11, 2025
Tuesday, November 11, 2025, saw a mixed day for US equities as the broader market continued its rally, while the technology sector faced renewed selling pressure. Optimism surrounding the impending end of the government shutdown was countered by concerns over lofty AI valuations and soft economic data.
π Equities (Stocks)
The market was split, with a clear rotation away from high-flying growth stocks:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by a strong +1.2%, closing at a new record high of $47,927.96.
The S&P 500 posted a modest gain of +0.2%, closing at $6,846.61.
The Nasdaq Composite lagged significantly, dipping by -0.3% to $23,468.30.
The strong performance in the Dow and S&P 500 was driven by a rotation into rate-sensitive and cyclical sectors, supported by hopes that the government shutdown would end and that recent soft employment data might prompt a December Fed rate cut. Conversely, the Nasdaq was weighed down as key AI-related stocks like Nvidia resumed their decline amid fresh worries that valuations in the tech space are stretched.
ποΈ Bonds
The US bond market was officially closed for the Veterans Day holiday, meaning there was no official close or change in yield for benchmark notes like the 10-year Treasury.
However, trading in the bond futures market and related instruments indicated that yields were generally holding steady or slightly higher, continuing the rebound from the lows seen last week. The yield on the US 10-Year Treasury was last quoted near 4.13%.
π° Commodities
Commodities were generally mixed, with energy futures rising despite oversupply concerns, while precious metals continued their recent upward trajectory.
Crude Oil (WTI) saw a strong daily rise of approximately +1.7% to trade near the $61.00 per barrel level. This gain was attributed to the dual factors of optimism over the end of the US shutdown boosting demand prospects, and the lingering uncertainty caused by recent US sanctions on Russian oil giants, which has tightened the supply outlook.
US Natural Gas (Henry Hub) futures held steady or slightly firmed, trading around $4.35 per MMBtu. Prices remain elevated due to strong LNG export volumes and expectations of increased winter heating demand.
Gold extended its recent bullish momentum, rising by over +3.0% since Friday's close to trade above the $4,100 per ounce level. This surge was fueled by renewed concerns over US fiscal deficits (expected to worsen after the shutdown deal) and renewed bets on a more dovish Federal Reserve policy.
π± Foreign Exchange (FX)
The US Dollar generally eased against major currencies, influenced by the mixed US data, which increased the likelihood of a near-term interest rate cut.
The Euro (EUR) saw the USD/EUR exchange rate move slightly in the Euro's favor, with the Euro trading near $1.1578 (based on the inverse of the USD/EUR rate of $\text{0.86381}$).
The Swiss Franc (CHF) firmed, a typical reaction to the ongoing concerns about US fiscal health.
Trading activity was generally sluggish in the G10 currencies due to the US bond market holiday.
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