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Long Term Stock Portfolio Update
This portfolio has had a strong year, with an annualized return on investment (ROI) of 21%.
We've already closed out two positions Entain and Vestas Wind Systems, one with a 50% gain and another with a 30% gain, both achieved in less than six months.
Markets Review
The financial markets experienced a mixed session on Tuesday, October 29, 2025, primarily driven by anticipation ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which was announced after the market close.
Here is a breakdown of the market activity:
Stocks
US Equities generally saw slight gains or were mixed as investors cautiously awaited the FOMC decision and a flurry of major tech earnings after the bell.
The S&P 500 Index finished flat to slightly positive (approximately 0.00% to +0.2%).
The Nasdaq Composite outperformed, posting a gain of around 0.5% to a new record high, largely propelled by strength in mega-cap technology and chip stocks.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped slightly, down approximately 0.2%.
Key Stock Movers: The day was marked by strong pre-close gains in chip-related companies like Nvidia (+3.0%) and Broadcom (+3.5%), with Nvidia briefly crossing a $5 trillion market capitalization. Caterpillar and Verizon also rallied on strong earnings reports.
After-Hours Activity (Post-Fed/Earnings): Trading became choppy with mixed reactions to the Fed's announcement and major tech earnings:
Alphabet surged (approx. +6.7%) on a reported earnings beat.
Meta Platforms dropped significantly (approx. -7.4%) due to a large one-off tax charge.
Microsoft fell (approx. -4%) as its OpenAI stake reportedly reduced its quarterly earnings.
Bonds (Fixed Income)
US Treasury Yields were generally flat before the Fed's announcement, as a 25 basis point rate cut was widely expected.
Post-Fed Reaction: Following the announcement, which included the expected 25 basis point rate cut and a statement that the Fed would end its balance-sheet runoff, yields jumped. This was due to Fed Chair Powell cooling expectations for a quick follow-up cut in December, which markets had priced in, leading to a perceived "hawkish" cut.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose about 9 basis points to approximately 4.07%.
The 2-year Treasury yield also lifted sharply, up about 10 basis points to approximately 3.59%.
Commodities
Crude Oil (Brent and WTI): Prices eased slightly, with Brent Crude trading around $64.5 per barrel. The softening came despite previously announced US sanctions on major Russian oil companies, suggesting other factors, such as demand or supply outlooks, were dominant.
US Natural Gas (Henry Hub): Prices showed a recovery from earlier lows but remained volatile, trading near $3.84/MMBtu. Prices were initially pressured by warmer US weather forecasts for early to mid-November, which would reduce heating demand, but found support from robust LNG export flows and uncertainty ahead of the monthly contract expiration.
Precious Metals: Gold prices continued to fall, taking a pause as the year's strong rally subsided, likely reacting to pre-Fed strength in the US Dollar and rising bond yields.
Foreign Exchange (FX)
US Dollar (USD): The dollar was generally rangebound but saw a chop back and forth session. It initially rallied after the FOMC decision was interpreted as hawkish due to the shift in rate cut expectations, although this rally eventually fizzled somewhat.
EUR/USD: The Euro traded as low as 1.1578 before rebounding back above the 1.16 handle.
USD/JPY: The pair lifted back well above the 153.00 level. The Japanese Yen was weak across the board following a dovish statement from the Bank of Japan, which lacked guidance on its rate hiking intentions.
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