Short Term Stock Trades
Options, Futures & Fx Trade Update
Long Term Stock Portfolio Update
This portfolio has had a strong year, with an annualized return on investment (ROI) of 21%.
We've already closed out two positions Entain and Vestas Wind Systems, one with a 50% gain and another with a 30% gain, both achieved in less than six months.
Markets Review
The previous trading day was Monday, October 27, 2025. The markets showed a broad risk-on sentiment, driven primarily by optimism surrounding potential progress on a US-China trade deal and continued positive signals from the Q3 earnings season.
Here is a breakdown of the market activity:
Stocks
Major US stock indexes closed at record highs for the second consecutive session, with technology and growth stocks leading the charge:
S&P 500: Gained 1.23% (or approximately 83.47 points), closing near 6,876.
Nasdaq Composite: Was the strongest performer, surging by 1.86-1.9%.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA): Rose by around 0.71-0.72% (or approximately 337.47 points).
Key Stock Movers:
Qualcomm (QCOM) was a standout, soaring about 11% after announcing new AI accelerator chips for data centers, competing with rivals like Nvidia.
Other technology stocks like Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) also saw solid gains.
Shares of gold miners and rare-earth producers, such as Albemarle (ALB) and MP Materials (MP), declined due to the risk-on environment and easing trade tensions.
Bonds
US Treasury yields generally moved lower or were slightly mixed:
The 10-year Treasury yield ticked down slightly, resting near 3.99%, reflecting a slight bid for government debt possibly on expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut later in the week.
Commodities
Commodity prices reflected the mixed impact of a positive economic outlook but also a stronger US dollar in some sessions.
Crude Oil (WTI): Futures were mixed, with WTI Crude Oil trading slightly lower around the $61 per barrel mark.
US Natural Gas (NYMEX Front Month): Experienced a significant upward move, with November futures rising approximately 4.18% to settle around $3.4420 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This rally snapped a three-session losing streak, primarily driven by forecasts for colder weather and higher heating demand over the next couple of weeks, alongside strong LNG export activity.
Gold: The safe-haven metal pulled back sharply, with futures falling around 3.2% to settle near $4,005 per ounce, pressured by the market's risk appetite and easing trade tensions.
Foreign Exchange (FX)
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of major currencies, slipped around 0.1% to trade near 98.82, as traders looked toward a widely anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut later in the week.
USD/JPY: The pair continued to strengthen, trading above 153, driven by the divergence in central bank policies (expected Fed rate cut vs. expected "hawkish hold" from the Bank of Japan).
EUR/USD: Rose modestly, trading around 1.1665.
GBP/USD: Also saw slight gains, trading around 1.3367.
USD/CAD: Slipped lower, briefly trading below the 1.4000 level.
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