Short Term Stock Trades
Options, Futures & Fx Trade Update
The options portfolio is now up 40% for the year.
Long Term Stock Portfolio Update
This portfolio has had a strong year, with an annualized return on investment (ROI) of 21%.
We've already closed out two positions Entain and Vestas Wind Systems, one with a 50% gain and another with a 30% gain, both achieved in less than six months.
Markets Review
The financial markets on Tuesday, October 21, 2025, saw a mixed session with U.S. stocks generally higher, a pullback in precious metals, and a rise in U.S. natural gas prices.
Here is a breakdown of the key market movements:
Stocks
US Equities were largely positive, with strong corporate earnings driving optimism, though gains were somewhat modest after a sharp rally the previous day.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a notable rise, fueled by better-than-expected earnings reports from major components like Coca-Cola and 3M. It closed at a new all-time high.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite posted modest gains, with the S&P 500 inching closer to its own record. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was kept in check by a slight pullback in some of the mega-cap tech stocks like Alphabet and Meta Platforms, which were seen as digesting recent strong gains.
Strong earnings surprises, with a significant majority of companies beating expectations, helped underpin market sentiment.
Bonds
US Treasury Yields continued their downward trend, reflecting persistent expectations for future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, despite the ongoing government shutdown causing a delay in some key economic data releases.
The 10-year Treasury yield eased slightly, falling below the psychologically important 4.00% level to around 3.95%. This movement suggests that investors are focusing on the prospect of Federal Reserve policy easing rather than immediate inflation concerns.
Commodities
Precious Metals experienced a sharp decline, largely driven by profit-taking after a significant rally and a strengthening US Dollar (DXY).
Gold prices dropped significantly, falling over 5% from its recent record high.
Silver also saw a steep drop, declining over 6%.
Energy commodities were mixed.
US Natural Gas (Henry Hub) saw a notable price increase, rising over 2.5% to trade around $3.49 per MMBtu. This rise was supported by forecasts of slightly colder-than-normal weather in the near term, which would boost heating demand, alongside sustained high levels of U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) exports.
Crude Oil (WTI and Brent) traded relatively flat, with minor gains, as the market balanced ongoing geopolitical concerns against concerns over global demand and ample supply.
Foreign Exchange (FX)
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar against a basket of major currencies, strengthened, as credit market fears continued to ease.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) was a key underperformer, weakening broadly against its major counterparts. This weakness was attributed to the election of a new Prime Minister in Japan, viewed by markets as potentially "dovish" on interest rates, thus supporting a "sell the Yen" carry-trade dynamic.
USD/JPY saw a notable rise.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) was reported as the strongest major currency, supported by higher-than-expected Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures released on the day, although money markets still priced in a high probability of a rate cut from the Bank of Canada.
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