Short Term Stock Trades
Options, Futures & Fx Trade Update
Crude Oil Oct 29th Short $55 Puts for the December Futures contract:
This trade is still going as planned. When we entered this trade Crude Oil was trading at $60. It is now trading at $57.05. When we sold our Put options contract the premium we received was $490 per contract. The value is now at $390 per contract meaning that we are making a profit of $100 per contract. There is still $390 of potential profit in this trade and we will do nothing for now.
The options portfolio is now up 40% for the year.
Long Term Stock Portfolio Update
This portfolio has had a strong year, with an annualized return on investment (ROI) of 21%.
We've already closed out two positions Entain and Vestas Wind Systems, one with a 50% gain and another with a 30% gain, both achieved in less than six months.
Markets Review
The previous trading day was Monday, October 20, 2025.
Global financial markets generally saw a strong start to the week, primarily driven by easing fears over regional bank credit issues and a somewhat softer tone in US-China trade relations.
Here is a summary of the market activity:
Stocks
US Equities closed sharply higher, with major indices all gaining over 1.0%. The rally was broad-based, with the rate-sensitive Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies leading the gains.
S&P 500 Index: Rose by approximately 1.1%.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Gained about 1.1%.
Nasdaq Composite: Climbed around 1.4%.
Key Stock Movers:
Apple (AAPL) surged to a new record high after reports indicated strong demand for its latest iPhone series in the US and China.
Natural gas producing companies like Expand Energy (EXE) and EQT Corp. (EQT) saw significant gains following the jump in natural gas prices.
Oracle (ORCL) was among the decliners, extending losses on concerns regarding its capital expenditure plans and reliance on AI-driven growth.
Bonds
US Treasury Yields were relatively steady, with the 10-year Treasury yield showing a slight decrease early in the day but remaining near the 4.0% level. The overall move was marginal amidst a lack of major economic data releases.
Commodities
US Natural Gas (Henry Hub Futures): Experienced a sharp increase, surging over 12% in one session to a 1.5-week high. The jump was fueled by:
Colder weather forecasts for the coming weeks, boosting expectations for heating demand.
Robust overseas demand reflected by near-record LNG exports.
Signs of tightening supply with US production slightly lower in October.
Crude Oil (WTI): Traded marginally lower, closing down slightly. Prices were contained by ample global supply and sluggish economic numbers out of China.
Gold (COMEX): Rebounded and finished higher, recovering some losses as the ongoing US government shutdown contributed to safe-haven buying.
Foreign Exchange (FX)
The US Dollar Index (DXY) was relatively steady and slightly higher, maintaining its strength in the absence of significant economic data.
The Argentine Peso reportedly weakened to a fresh low despite interventions.
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