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March 13th 2025 Stock Market Update

Updated over a month ago

U.S. stocks advanced on Wednesday as cooler-than-expected inflation data helped stanch a sharp selloff, while the escalation of U.S. President Donald Trump's chaotic, multi-front tariff war kept gains in check.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed in positive territory, the latter enjoying a muscular boost from tech and tech-adjacent momentum stocks. The blue-chip Dow waffled between red and green for much of the session but ended modestly lower on the day.

The Labor Department's Consumer Price Index showed consumer prices cooling more than analysts expected, providing reassurance that inflation is headed in the right direction and keeping hopes alive that the U.S. Federal Reserve could cut its key interest rate this year. "We're seeing a bounce today on the lower-than-expected inflation read and some dip buying," said Greg Bassuk, CEO of AXS Investments in New York. "But Wall Street and Main Street are still looking for direction." "Investors’ hopefulness about inflation cooling is being mitigated by the ongoing trade-war strife," Bassuk added. "And for that reason, we really expect the uncertainty and volatility to continue here through much of March."

In his latest tariff salvo, Trump imposed 25% duties on imported steel and aluminum, prompting Canada and Europe to respond in kind, ramping up their retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports. U.S. equities have come under pressure amid the rising temperature of tit-for-tat tariff disputes between the United States and its trading partners, rattling investors and giving rise to fears that the resulting price jolts could tip the United States, along with Canada and Mexico, into recession.

Goldman Sachs lowered its year-end target for the S&P 500, while J.P. Morgan sees increasing odds of a U.S. recession.

With Wednesday's advance, the S&P 500 is 8.9% below its all-time closing high reached less than a month ago. On Monday, the bellwether index dipped below its 200-day moving average, considered a significant support level, for the first time since November 2023.

On March 6, the tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped more than 10% below its record closing high reached on December 16, confirming it has been in a correction since then.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 82.55 points, or 0.20%, to 41,350.93, the S&P 500 gained 27.23 points, or 0.49%, to 5,599.30 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 212.36 points, or 1.22%, to 17,648.45.

Technology shares led the gainers among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, while consumer staples and healthcare were the laggards. Intel jumped 4.6% after a report said TSMC had pitched Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom about taking a stake in a joint venture to operate the U.S. chip company's factories. PepsiCo fell 2.7% after brokerage Jefferies downgraded its rating on the stock to "hold" from "buy."

Lawmakers on Capitol Hill continued to wrangle over a stopgap spending bill in an effort to avoid a government shutdown, adding further uncertainties to the mix.


Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.15-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. There were 29 new highs and 186 new lows on the NYSE. On the Nasdaq, 2,589 stocks rose and 1,785 fell as advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.45-to-1 ratio.

The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 26 new highs and 200 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 16.14 billion shares, compared with the 16.59 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

Portfolio News

  • Active Trading Portfolio: No Trades yesterday. But we are looking at more trades in FX and commodities today. We will notify our premium and pro members via whats app when we decide to place the trades. Check Out the Active Trading Portfolio.

  • Option Trading Portfolio: We're eyeing the EUR/USD and contemplating selling the 1.12 April Calls on the EUR/USD June futures! Yesterday was the first day for a while that the EUR.USD failed to make a higher high. If that event occurs again today, we may look to place that trade today or tomorrow.

    We like option trades on SPY to capitalise on this volatility. We are waiting on a spike in the VIX before participating ..we are still not sure that this selloff is done just yet.

    Check Out the Option Trading portfolio.

  • Buy and Hold Portfolio: Our long-term buy-and-hold portfolio is thriving. We'll promptly notify our Pro and Premium members via WhatsApp when we initiate new purchases. W ehave over 14 stocks ready to go when this selloff is complete. Check out out the Buy and Hold Portfolio.

  • The Vix: The VIX, often called the fear index, has been trending upwards, but we believe it has room to climb. We view a sharp VIX surge as a valuable contrarian indicator, often signaling a prime opportunity to buy into equities. We haven't yet seen the level of VIX volatility we're looking for, but we'll promptly inform our members upon its arrival. Until then, we recommend maintaining a patient approach.

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