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February 20th 2025 Stock Market Update

February 20th 2025 Stock Market Update

Updated over 2 months ago

Overview

US stocks closed higher on Wednesday as investors weighed President Trump's latest 25% tariff salvo and digested the Federal Reserve minutes for insight into future policy. The benchmark S&P 500 moved up about 0.2%, hitting a fresh record high of 6,144.15. The Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both rose about 0.1%.

Wednesday's minutes from the Fed's January meeting revealed most central bank officials supported holding policy at restrictive levels amid concerns about persistent inflation. "Many participants noted that the Committee could hold the policy rate at a restrictive level if the economy remained strong and inflation remained elevated, while several remarked that policy could be eased if labor market conditions deteriorated, economic activity faltered, or inflation returned to 2 percent more quickly than anticipated," the minutes read.

Participants observed the committee was "well positioned" to take time to assess the "evolving outlook for economic activity" and that further progress on inflation was needed before adjusting rates. The committee pointed to "upside risks to the inflation outlook," citing the possible effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy.

On the trade front, Trump's fast-moving policy overhaul has been top of mind for investors waiting to assess the impact of tariffs. Another tariff threat came late on Tuesday, when the president , chips, and pharmaceuticals. A flat tariff "in the region of 25%" would apply to all foreign automakers and start as soon as April 2, he said.

Tariffs of 25% on Mexico and Canada are set to come next month, while 10% duties on China have already been implemented.

Portfolios

  1. Active Trading Portfolio

Click Here to view current and past positions.

Our ULTA trade was closed yesterday at $363, triggering our stop-loss and resulting in a 7% loss. This, combined with the recent DECK exit, has impacted our overall portfolio performance, moving us into negative territory for the year. Active trading requires disciplined risk management, and stop-losses are a key component of this. We currently have three active trades that present promising opportunities, and we are confident in our ability to recover from this short-term setback. We experienced a rapid growth of 32% in January, and while February has presented challenges, we are actively managing the portfolio to optimize future returns.

Performance Snapshot:

Portfolio Start Date

1/1/2025

Total Profit or loss

-632.14

Starting Capital

10,000

Avg Profit Per trade

-35.12

Total Number of Trades

18

ROI

-6.32%

Average Days in a trade

3.0

Annualised ROI

-46.15%

2. Option Trading Portfolio

Click Here to view current and past positions. We have only one position at the moment in SPY which will expire in full profit this Friday. this portfolio continues to perform very well

Performance Snapshot:

Average number of days in a trade

33.2

Total Profit or loss

1,117

Total Number of Trades

6

Avg Profit per Trade

186

3. Long Term Buy and Hold

Click Here to view current and past positions.

Performance Snapshot:

Total Number of Stocks

6

Average length of days Invested

41.2

Average ROI Per Stock

7%

Average ROI Annualised

247%

Index & Sector Performance

US Index Performance

EU Index Performance

US Sector Performance

Mag 7 Performance

Top 5 Winners

Top 5 Losers

FX, Bonds, Crypto & Commodities

FX

Bonds

Commodities

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